Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.695038 0.797932 0.910066 1.041242 1.190392 1.354606 1.549024
2024-12-22 0.525449 0.660395 0.820342 1.023503 1.274284 1.573298 1.956480
2024-12-29 0.420040 0.573615 0.770145 1.039125 1.396648 1.854406 2.483768
2025-01-05 0.330610 0.487936 0.704163 1.021275 1.472445 2.088929 2.992454
2025-01-12 0.272646 0.432355 0.666783 1.033067 1.587501 2.391039 3.638502
2025-01-19 0.218911 0.371545 0.609907 1.005117 1.638886 2.608925 4.197020
2025-01-26 0.190609 0.344251 0.598123 1.042338 1.792787 2.999089 5.070034
2025-02-02 0.169978 0.325293 0.595741 1.093122 1.974648 3.456687 6.113708
2025-02-09 0.146859 0.297152 0.572347 1.103111 2.087662 3.814748 7.040325
2025-02-16 0.126563 0.270090 0.545788 1.102069 2.179359 4.146208 7.963211
2025-02-23 0.110218 0.247446 0.523306 1.104198 2.275737 4.496457 8.963664
2025-03-02 0.096182 0.226723 0.500826 1.102042 2.362288 4.837671 9.989013
2025-03-09 0.086265 0.213272 0.491521 1.126493 2.508160 5.316768 11.355467
2025-03-16 0.075271 0.195159 0.469152 1.119477 2.587789 5.675156 12.529561
2025-03-23 0.068093 0.184659 0.461873 1.144564 2.740120 6.202439 14.121980
2025-03-30 0.059446 0.168691 0.439110 1.130181 2.802090 6.545904 15.367155
2025-04-06 0.053709 0.159081 0.429937 1.146605 2.937406 7.066753 17.068812
2025-04-13 0.046519 0.143965 0.404286 1.117904 2.960587 7.337581 18.239382
2025-04-20 0.043440 0.139838 0.406396 1.160580 3.165757 8.055897 20.540491
2025-04-27 0.041203 0.137730 0.413574 1.217859 3.416359 8.913362 23.278681
2025-05-04 0.037481 0.130268 0.404590 1.229595 3.549861 9.501432 25.430267
2025-05-11 0.033775 0.122035 0.391921 1.228869 3.649842 10.017990 27.466343
2025-05-18 0.030602 0.114842 0.381036 1.231512 3.759570 10.573157 29.669417